LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come with announcement victories into this Saturdays match.
LSU beat against the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp previous weekend. But in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take a top-four place in the race over to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. Since he went 11 with three INTs into making poor decisions that were several a week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. He is a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. That includes the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
Together with the roar of all Death Valley the Gators come in as underdogs on BetNow. Could the No. 5 scoring shield keep this close and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling up and win the bet? Here is the breakdown.
Theres hardly any doubt in Burrows ability . He has transformed into a Heisman candidate, acquiring a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the very best receiving teams in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has good length using his 63 frame and has mastered in some huge games. Chase is an actual existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target who will fill the area. It is all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the toughest DB unit theyve played with . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by LSUs other opponents: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida sits at 33rd, though its safe to say theyve yet to play with a QB of Burrows caliber. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a ton of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on uneven so far in the other corner spot, but nonetheless has a ceiling.
Burrow will face a, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as best pass-rusher coming in to this season, is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line will be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though his awareness must enhance he has yet to get flustered by an opposing defensive line. Auburns according ranks 11th in line yards, and is arguably the best in the country to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and can be 85th in bag rate. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not portable outside of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
Together with the LBs more involved in the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit needs to come up big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most considered DBU for the gift they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman team, or even more, in 2019.
Will likely soon be out of all returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, who allowed the least amount of downs this past year. Itll be given an opportunity against a driven Trask Although this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance will be crucial as for Florida, that hasnt got their running game going however. A tackle broke at the line on his approach last weekend. In spite of that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also is currently going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of power success (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front may not be strong. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and thats like Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep that shut out the Kentucky game.
Should they dont get Perine or even Dameon Pierce going frequently, it puts ways stress on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect from the school football world following a week. And while I dont expect them to come out from Death Valley, I do see this game remaining than many.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, also Burrow is one of the more smart QBs in the FBS. But LSU is not going to install 45 or something close to that against a defense whos proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will work out over time, since the group has relied upon them far too much to alter the tide in matches. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject against Jefferson or the physical Chase into some PIs.
But I do not anticipate this before late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the match in a lot of a slog till then makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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