LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come with statement successes into this Saturdays match.
LSU defeat the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams seem to take over a spot in the race into College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way for them. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a point in the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 with three INTs into making decisions that were several last week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. This contains the 45 they dumped on the road on Texas.
As underdogs on BetNow that the Gators come in with Death Valley awaitings roar. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 defense keep this close? Or will Burrow and also the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and win the bet? Here is the breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in Burrows skill . Hes converted to a Heisman candidate, having an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the receiving teams in the nation. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length with his 63 frame and has dominated in some big games. Chase is an actual presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who will fill the spot. It is all a part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit they have played throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by the other competitions of LSU: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Georgia Southern 111th.
Although its safe to say they have yet to play with a QB of the standard of Burrow, florida now sits at 33rd. They have played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American whos living up to his billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on uneven so far in the other corner spot, but has a large ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will face a, which will be completely healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami over the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to function as coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line will be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing lineup, while his awareness must improve in the pocket. Auburns according ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is arguably the finest in the nation to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is now 85th in sack speed. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask off his game. Even the Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He sprained a knee in the previous match and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
Together with the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit should develop big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is often regarded as DBU for the talent they possess on their defenses perimeter. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even more, in 2019.
On the opposing side of him would likely be out of returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, who enabled the smallest sum of first downs. Itll be given an opportunity against a driven Trask Although this group is in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that hasnt got their running game going this year. A tackle broke at the line on his way into an 88-yard TD run . Despite this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also is going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power success (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be potent. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and that is like Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed from the Kentucky match.
It puts a lot of strain on Trask in a hostile environment, When they dont get Perine or even Dameon Pierce going regularly.
Florida has earned respect from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win from LSU, I really do see this sport staying closer than most.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is just one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt going to put up 45 or something close to that. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will probably wear out with time, as the group has relied upon them. Marco Wilson will be the topic to a PIs against the Chase or Jefferson.
However, I dont expect this. Maintaining the match in a lot of a slog until afterward makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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