NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

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NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500

The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Following an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 quick 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races at this track and is the 9-4 favorite to collect another win in the most current 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix chances after a strong start to his season that has him at eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections, be sure to look at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into account.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, such as correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a powerful start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its own projected top five. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

Grew up around race tracks. Big events in places like ISM Raceway have been in his blood. His version has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For your 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can tell you the version is top on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot at 25-1 NASCAR chances. He is a goal for anyone searching for a payday.

Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win and proceeded to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to a 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has revealed impressive speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who pushes for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among the year’s Daytona Duels and closed out a year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place finish at Homestead. He will also come equipped into the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix picks from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway and the very best Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning everything.

Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the package consistently at this track. In fact, he has finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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